Holts

Compensating for trend in exponential smoothing modelsPhoto by Jeremy Thomas on UnsplashIn my previous post, we introduced the idea of exponential smoothing for building forecasting models. The gist of exponential smoothing is to put more weight on recent observations and less weight, exponentially, on more historical ones.The first model we introduced was simple exponential smoothing. The ‘simple’ part refers to the model not taking into account trend or seasonality, and only forecasting the level. This leads to this…

Comedian Rosie Holt came to prominence during lockdown with her online political parodies of Conservative MPs. She grew up in Somerset and trained at the London Academy of Music and Dramatic Art; in 2013 she won the Sitcom Trials: So You Think You Write Funny? award, and she has performed as part of double act with Christian Talbot. She presents the satirical podcast NonCensored. Her new character comedy show Rosie Holt: The Woman’s Hour is at the Edinburgh festival fringe in August at the Pleasance Courtyard.1. FilmThe…