Pierre-Simon Laplace, Inverse Probability, and the Central Limit Theorem
CC BY-SA 4.0/Public domain/Public domain/Image by Author/Public domainOn Laplace’s brilliant solution to inverse probability and his discovery of the Central Limit TheoremIn the late 1600s, Jacob Bernoulli pondered over an interesting question: How do you estimate the probability of an event whose sample space is not fully accessible? How, for instance, do you estimate the chance of being hit in the head by a bolt from the sky during your lifetime? Or if you prefer a less dramatic setting, how do estimate the real…