Private sector companies only added 1,100 jobs last year
The state’s private sector sat on the sidelines when it came to hiring workers as last year came to a close, according to a monthly update from the Colorado Department of Labor and Employment.
Colorado added an anemic 300 nonfarm jobs in December, with private sector employers shedding 1,700 and governments adding 2,000. November counts, which had initially shown a decline of 700 jobs, were revised to show a loss of 2,500 jobs, all driven by the lack of private-sector hiring.
For the full year, private sector employers added 1,100 jobs, while the heavy lifting of keeping the economy going was left up to government employers, primarily local governments and school districts, who added 23,000 jobs.
“As was the case for most of 2023, the lack of job growth in the private sector is troubling,” said Broomfield economist Gary Horvath. “There were notable job losses in transportation, warehousing, and utilities; manufacturing; and finance and insurance. Significant gains were seen in health care and retail trade.”
Hiring has been soft since September, much softer than other indicators like GDP growth and personal income gains would suggest it should be. Still, the unemployment rate, which is calculated using a different household survey, came in at a low 3.4%, up from 3.3% in November but below the 3.7% rate nationally.
The state’s job numbers will undergo a major benchmarking process based on the quarterly reports that employers make when they file their unemployment insurance premiums.
That benchmarking is expected to significantly boost the number of jobs added in the state, said Ryan Gedney, a senior labor economist with the CDLE, during a news call Friday morning.
The Colorado Business Economic Outlook, which came out in early December, estimated that the state added around 64,500 jobs last year, not the 24,100 estimated in the most recent report.
So how did things get so far off course? Employers, it seems, have dropped the ball when it comes to completing a monthly survey the state sends out to get a headcount. It started during the pandemic, when workers left the office, and it hasn’t gotten back on track, Gedney said.
Gedney said that two sectors with strong gains last year, government and leisure and hospitality, were playing catchup after taking heavy losses during the pandemic. Both are back above pre-pandemic levels, making it less likely they will be hiring as actively in 2024.
Depending on what the revisions show, Horvath said slower job growth might be pointing to an economic slowdown or possible recession in 2024. Housing permits were down last year from 2022, the office vacancy rate is an unsustainable 30% in downtown Denver, retail sales have been nothing to brag about and inflation is running hotter than in most other areas.
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The state’s private sector sat on the sidelines when it came to hiring workers as last year came to a close, according to a monthly update from the Colorado Department of Labor and Employment.
Colorado added an anemic 300 nonfarm jobs in December, with private sector employers shedding 1,700 and governments adding 2,000. November counts, which had initially shown a decline of 700 jobs, were revised to show a loss of 2,500 jobs, all driven by the lack of private-sector hiring.
For the full year, private sector employers added 1,100 jobs, while the heavy lifting of keeping the economy going was left up to government employers, primarily local governments and school districts, who added 23,000 jobs.
“As was the case for most of 2023, the lack of job growth in the private sector is troubling,” said Broomfield economist Gary Horvath. “There were notable job losses in transportation, warehousing, and utilities; manufacturing; and finance and insurance. Significant gains were seen in health care and retail trade.”
Hiring has been soft since September, much softer than other indicators like GDP growth and personal income gains would suggest it should be. Still, the unemployment rate, which is calculated using a different household survey, came in at a low 3.4%, up from 3.3% in November but below the 3.7% rate nationally.
The state’s job numbers will undergo a major benchmarking process based on the quarterly reports that employers make when they file their unemployment insurance premiums.
That benchmarking is expected to significantly boost the number of jobs added in the state, said Ryan Gedney, a senior labor economist with the CDLE, during a news call Friday morning.
The Colorado Business Economic Outlook, which came out in early December, estimated that the state added around 64,500 jobs last year, not the 24,100 estimated in the most recent report.
So how did things get so far off course? Employers, it seems, have dropped the ball when it comes to completing a monthly survey the state sends out to get a headcount. It started during the pandemic, when workers left the office, and it hasn’t gotten back on track, Gedney said.
Gedney said that two sectors with strong gains last year, government and leisure and hospitality, were playing catchup after taking heavy losses during the pandemic. Both are back above pre-pandemic levels, making it less likely they will be hiring as actively in 2024.
Depending on what the revisions show, Horvath said slower job growth might be pointing to an economic slowdown or possible recession in 2024. Housing permits were down last year from 2022, the office vacancy rate is an unsustainable 30% in downtown Denver, retail sales have been nothing to brag about and inflation is running hotter than in most other areas.
Get more business news by signing up for our Economy Now newsletter.