A better handle on the emissions budget for the Paris climate targets
Relationship between cumulative emissions and global warming, for the historical simulations plus four different SSP scenarios (ssp128, ssp245, ssp370, ssp585). Panel (a) plots cumulative emissions since 1850 (diagnosed using Eq. 1) against global warming since 1850 for each of the nine CMIP6 ESMs (colored symbols) and the Global Carbon Project (GCP) plus global mean temperature observations (black stars). The values shown here are 10-year centered…