Prediction

Rendering of a GOES-R Series satellite. Credit: Lockheed Martin In a study published in Advances in Atmospheric Sciences (AAS) on Dec. 6, Prof. Ming Xue and his team from the University of Oklahoma spearhead research focusing on harnessing the power of Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite "R-series" (GOES-R) lightning flash observations to improve thunderstorm forecasting through numerical weather prediction…

Conformal Prediction for Machine Learning Classification —From the Ground UpImplementing conformal prediction for classification without need of bespoke packagesThis blog post is inspired by Chris Molner’s book — Introduction to Conformal Prediction with Python. Chris is brilliant at making new machine learning techniques accessible to others. I’d especially also recommend his books on Explainable Machine Learning.A GitHub repository with the full code may be found here: Conformal Prediction.What is Conformal…

Marvel has a history of releasing its MCU offerings on Disney Plus at varying times, and The Marvels will be no exception. Once upon a time (think: Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness) Marvel used to drop its MCU movies on Disney Plus a mere month and a half after premiering in theaters. It’s hard to imagine that happening now, in the wake of recent additions like Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania and Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3, both of which took twice as long as the aforementioned Doctor Strange 2 to reach…

The areas of the regarded sea surface temperature anomalies. Credit: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2023). DOI: 10.1038/s41612-023-00519-8 At irregular intervals, a momentous weather phenomenon called El Niño (Spanish for "Christ Child") occurs in the Pacific. The warm surface water initially driven by the trade winds towards the coasts of Indonesia and eastern Australia then sloshes back eastwards, which can have…

Finally, a robot to tell you which jacket you should wear to the function. Google DeepMind, the search giant’s AI-centric brain trust, just announced a new weather forecasting model that beats traditional systems more than 90% of the time. Named GraphCast, the machine learning model promises 10-day predictions that are better, faster, and more energy-efficient than the tools that run your weather app today.No Google AI Search, I Don’t Need to Learn About the “Benefits of Slavery” “We believe this marks a turning point in…

CAUSAL DATA SCIENCEHow to best target policies in the presence of churnCover, image by AuthorA very common task in data science is churn prediction. However, predicting churn is often just an intermediate step and rarely the final objective. Usually, what we actually care about is reducing churn, which is a separate objective, not necessarily related. In fact, for example, knowing that long-term customers are less likely to churn than new customers is not an actionable insight since we cannot increase customers’ tenure.…

IND vs WI 2nd Test Dream11 prediction: India displayed tremendous form in the first test match and comfortably won the game by an innings and 141 runs. India has already taken a lead of 1-0 but the men in blues would like to take it to 2-0 in order to stay on the top of the table of the World Test Championship (WTC). The game is also important for West Indies as they will be looking to quickly bounce back from the defeat and take advantage of the home turf. The second test match begins today, and both teams will be keen…

CLIMATEWIRE | For decades, morning weather reports have relied on the same kinds of conventional models. Now, weather forecasting is poised to join the ranks of industries revolutionized by artificial intelligence. A pair of papers, published Wednesday in the scientific journal Nature, touts the potential of two new AI forecasting approaches — systems that could yield faster and more accurate results than traditional models, researchers say. They’re part of a new wave of AI models sweeping the meteorology community…

IND vs WI 1st Test Dream11 prediction: While Ashes is the talk of the town due to the last moment comeback by England which keeps the series alive, another exciting series is beginning today, July 12. India has traveled to the West Indies and will be playing 2 test matches, 3 ODIs, and 5 T20Is. The first test match begins today, and both teams, after their recent disappointing performances, will be keen on picking up the momentum. If you want to build a team that fetches you the highest points in your online fantasy…

The sea surface anomalies of positive and negative ENSO phase（from https://ifurtado.org/el-nino-southern-oscillation. Credit: Science China Press A multi-model ensemble (MME) prediction system has been recently developed by a team led by Dr. Dake Chen. This prediction system consists of five dynamical coupled models with various complexities, parameterizations, resolutions, initializations, and ensemble strategies, to address…